Sure, I got 2 hours sleep after the four year old woofed the cookies in the night leading to laundry rather than sleepery but I just don't see anything other than a Tory majority of around 160 seats after next Monday, a few more than this prediction. I still think I may vote Grit for the first time in my life but that's because this may be the last time you may vote that way in a national election. They have gone from 33.5% to 26.5% since the writ was dropped - a shaking out of over 20 % of their support. It is just silly to have combined Liberal and NDP polling at almost 55% and expecting a Tory majority with about 38% of the vote. Look, things could get weird and a lot of three way splits might see any number of things happening but I do not see any great retraction of conservative support caused by horror of a Tory majority.

It is gratifying to see that the Bloq Quebecois is losing attention to the NDP but it that is understood in a cycle of Quebec elections it's a short term victory. Prime Minister Harper leading the Federalist cause in the next Quebec separation referendum is something of a nightmare scenario. He may be Velcro for some unknown reason in English Canada but, as a western fire waller at heart, he's hardly the voice for the nation - let alone that voice in French. One wonders even what the vague word "ethnic" will mean or play out as in that context.

So, blame the lack of sleep if you will but I see the land with a bluer hue come May 3rd. Take it as comfort or fair warning as you will.