Presuming apparently that the Mayan calendar does not foretell our intervening doom, a Google brain has proposed what the information super highway will look like in 2014. The future apparently includes the following:
- Five years from now the internet will be dominated by Chinese-language content.
- Within five years there will be broadband well above 100MB in performance - and distribution distinctions between TV, radio and the web will go away.
- people will listen more to other people than to traditional sources.
So we are looking at a medium dominated by state monitored and perhaps state generated content in a context with reduced counter-point other than that of the mob. Because he does not suggest a democratic China, right? Is an underlying idea that the marketplace of ideas has become deflated to the point there is no value in the exchange, just in controlling the forum? I take some comfort in the fact that the comments are made along with a promise of convergence, hallmark of the point misser.

Comments
Jay Currie - October 28, 2009 6:17 PM
I wonder if a China wired at 100MB will be anything but democratic. While I am not a technological determinist in any strict sense I can't help but think that the Party is going to have a hell of a time herding a billion and a half wired up proto capitalists.
Alan - October 28, 2009 7:37 PM
Moore's Law applies to filtering, too, right?
Jay Currie - October 30, 2009 1:26 AM
A filter is just the sort of thing the net is designed to route around.