Wearing shorts shopping yesterday in the 9° C rain has been unexpectedly followed by a double lake effect band over Erie and Ontario dumping snow right now on my house in the pre-dawn. The ever helpful forecast discussion out of the Buffalo office says:
THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION WILL SEE A LONGER DURATION OF COLD BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS AND A LONGER FETCH ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO...ENOUGH TO WARRANT A LAKE SNOW WARNING FOR JEFFERSON/LEWIS/OSWEGO COUNTIES AND MAINLY FOR THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. LONG FETCH WITH LITTLE SHEAR AND OROGRAPHIC LIFT ON THE TUG HILL WILL DELIVER ABOUT 12 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT. THE LAKE SNOW WILL THEN DIMINISH AFTER 08Z AS THE CAPPING INVERSION DROPS.That all is, of course, if the lake effect drifts south of the border. In the face of such serious conditions, I prescribe sherry and ales with some solid attention paid to tasty bits on wee crackers.