Day Fifty-Six: Election Day

I think there was a mistake made by someone when the election date was picked. We were given too much time to think and too much time to talk. And what did we talk about over Christmas and New Years? The season of giving to the good and to the needy passed in semi-silence politically speaking but the polls show it was then that the fates of the candidates changed. We all have our thoughts but I think it was less about the news and more about the lull. Perhaps to create revisionist comforting unhistory in the mind. Perhaps to be angry...or likely just angrier than usual. Perhaps to be open to change.

Today we vote. Only today. I like to vote and I would vote more often if given half a chance. My vote will not elect a Member of Parliament. It never has. It will express my view, however, and that is more important. I feel badly for those who vote to pick a winner but not whose view aligns with those who will take their seats.

Update: Interesting to note that SES polling results for Sunday, the final day of SES polling in their last 3 day rolling poll [Warning PDF!] announced last night at 7:45 pm before the deadline (therefore not infringing s.328 to repeat by me here), shows a weird shift away from the Tories:

All voters
Tories - 33.2%
Liberals - 30.4%
NDP - 22.2%
Bloc - 9.4%
Green - 4.8%
Likely voters
Tories - 32.7%
Liberals - 31.0%
NDP - 23.3%
Bloc - 9.0%
Green - 4.0%

If there turns out to be a weekend collapse of Tory support, has SES seen it? If there is not, who was SES calling? All very slim information to be sure but as a NDP voter one has to grasp at straws.

Upperdate: I just noticed the best report from a all-candidates meeting over at Chris Taylor's blog. Check out the scoring methodology.

Comments

David Janes - January 23, 2006 11:54 am

http://blog.davidjanes.com

Prediction:

Fascists: 129
Crooks: 67
Communists: 51
Traitors: 59

Gordo - January 23, 2006 12:06 pm

http://www.cruachan.ca/~gordon/blog/

I'm throwing my faith behind the Election Prediction Project. With an accuracy rate averaging 87.72% over nine elections, they certainly have a better handle on things than I do.
They're predicting:
188 Tories
104 Liberals
29 NDP
56 Bloq
1 Independent

As a past NDP member, I'd say an increase in 10 seats (52.6%) is nothing to gripe about. Of course, I'd like nothing more than to see a Green seat or two as well.

Marian - January 23, 2006 12:32 pm

The accuracy of the above leaves something to be desired. There are too many seats in that parliament I tells ya!

Marian - January 23, 2006 12:35 pm

I think a majority is in the cards for the Tories too simply because most are voting conservative while thinking that others will vote Liberal. Those others will be doing the same, however.

Gordo - January 23, 2006 1:00 pm

Whoops .. 118 Tories

Alan - January 23, 2006 1:01 pm

I posted this at Jim Elve's e-Blog on 28 November. Not much chance of being right now...<blockquote>Last time my prediction was masterful, pure genius so you might want to get the packing label for the fabulous gifts and prize ready now. This time I call it this way:<blockquote>

Liberals: 114 
Conservatives: 92 
Bloc Quebecois: 61 
New Democrats: 40 
Green Party: 1 
Independents: 0

</blockquote>This allows for the fall 2006 election option, BTW.</blockquote>

'nee - January 23, 2006 4:24 pm

http://www.westcoastgirl.com

I say we just get rid of parliament altogether and assign me Supreme Ruler of the Universe and Empress of India. I'd do a great job, and I've got that wave down pat.