- it was not a confidence vote
- the Liberals do not lack the support of the House of Commons.
When that vote comes in the next week or two, expect all Liberal members to be in the House. Last night two cabinet members were missing. That will make the vote 152 to 153 against the Government. Then, Chuck Cadman's chemo cycle will allow him to travel. Make it 153-153. Then my MP, the Speaker, will vote making it 154-153 for the Government. Further, the by-election in Labrador is coming and the Liberals will likely win that, making the Speaker's vote unnecessary after that. Harper's moment will have passed.
So for now, it appears that if all the House voted, the Grits would win. Cadman has said he is an old Reformer and will obey the wishes of his riding which is running at last word at 75% against an election. So, for now, Harper can harp on as his ill MP's chemo cycles are supporting him now. In two weeks who knows. Kind of sad and pathetic but, hey, it's politics.
Update: Jay raises an interesting point as to whether the House can conduct substantive business in the interim. Trouble for the Tories is - they did. Look at the events in the House after "the vote" - CPC members spoke and voted. Hard for them to say today that there is no authority for an operative Parliament as there was last night. Does the lex Parliamentaria recognize "fresh steps" as a bar to complaint about the past in the way the common law does?