Don't forget to get some picks in for the elction pool. I know I said there was a deadline but seeing as the web is full of rightists and I am picking Kerry - and - as it looks like Kerry may actually win...well, I am just looking forward to the gnashing of teeth, the neo-con v. Tory accusations, the chicken little dire predictions.
Most of what you need to know is here at the Electoral Vote Predictor 2004. The rules once again are as follows with my picks as an illustration...
1. Electoral college overall: 50 points for being spot on, one point lost for every electoral college vote off +/- for the winner. No points for being 50 or over off score. Total 538 so 270 needed to win.
My picks: I say...um...285 Kerry and 253 Bush. I do not care if that combination is actually possible. Nearness is what matters.
2. President: 30 points for naming the winner.
My pick: I obviously say Kerry...not because it is obvious he will win but because I gave him the most electoral votes.
3. Key States: 10 points for picking the winner in the following states correctly - Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Maine, Missouri, Colorado.
My picks: Kerry: Florida, Pennsylvania, Missouri, Ohio; Bush: Maine, Colorado.
4. Senate: 20 points for for being spot on, four points lost for every senate seat off +/- for the final count of the majority.
My picks: 49 Democrats, 50 Republicans and 1 Independent.
5. Wild card: Pick your own non-Federal race at any level down to local district attorney for an incumbant to lose. 20 points if you picked right.
Did I mention there are prizes? I always give out prizes. More info here and here.My picks: hmmm...this is tricky. I think in the 49th District of the New York State Senate, the Democratic Candidate David Valesky is goin' to Albany!!!
He's goiing to win because the right has split the vote with both Republican incumbant and Independent Conservative candidates. Has the right learned nothing from Preston Manning???
Comments
Kim - October 19, 2004 10:18 am
I'll play! I know who I am voting for but I have to figure out all the other goodies. That will require quiet time, which means late this evening. Count me in though.
Ben aka the Tiger in Winter - October 19, 2004 10:42 am
Alan --
If Kerry wins, I'll be disappointed, sure. And surprised. And aware of the fact that things are going to get worse, in terms of international stuff, before they get better.
But he does have a pretty good health care plan, and my mother's relatives out in California will appreciate that very much. And my parents won't feel obliged to disown me, as they are currently contemplating, for my vote.
Alan - October 19, 2004 10:59 am
If he wins it will be the wonder of democracy, if he loses it will be the wonder of democracy. I just love an election.
Hans - October 19, 2004 3:06 pm
Okay. I admit. I'm chicken.
Kaare Bye - November 2, 2004 1:16 pm
We in the Bye family [18]has voted for the Bush team
We want all 14 Million Mormons to vote with us in Unity and purpose!
See you
Alan - November 2, 2004 2:03 pm
We is pleased to hear that.<p>We do have a number of sometimes readers of the Mormon faith by name of Williams. I am not sure of the part millions that family makes but can get back to you on that point if necessary for your records. For however many Later Day Saints or (New Orleans Saints for that matter) there are that pass by here, I am glad to be the conduit of your message. <p>See you, too!