Just in time for mid-election reconsideration of your Federal elction pool picks, this morning's Toronto Star neatly summarizes two polls that came out yesterday. If believed no one is pulling ahead yet...just in time for the ugly ads.
The CPAC-SES results have shown a lead for Harper including the Tories being into the 40 percent range in Ontario. But these are the same folk who had the Liberals jump 10 points a little over a week ago.A Leger Marketing survey released yesterday suggested the Liberals had 33 per cent support among decided voters, compared with 30 per cent for the Tories. The telephone survey of 1,500 Canadians pegged support for the NDP at 19 per cent, while 12 per cent backed the Bloc Québécois. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Meanwhile, an Ipsos-Reid poll of 2,000 voters released last night on CTV put Liberal support at 32 per cent of decided voters, the Tories at 31 per cent and the NDP at 16 per cent. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
So here were my picks at the outset of the election:
Lib 134I think the only thing I have off are about ten seats moving the Tory way from the Liberals.
Con 100
BQ 55
NDP 18
Ind 1
Comments
Alan - June 10, 2004 1:00 PM
It is important to note with the prospect of a Liberal 109, Conservative 118, Bloc 60, NDP 20, Green 1 kind of world is that the balance of power will be solely held by a party dedicated to the dismantling of the country. Who to blame? Thank God - it is Brian Mulroney who botched the opportunity to ever have a Western Canada / Quebec partnership in a government through his constitutional brinksmanship that destroyed the PC party.
SayNay? - June 10, 2004 6:35 PM
Do you not think it would be better to blame the Bloc on Trudeau for:
i) leaving Quebec out of the original Canada Act and with the perception that he had "screwed them over";and
ii) his irrational opposition to the Meech Lake Accord (the Accord supported by Quebec and sponsored not only by Mulroney, but by Premier Bourassa)which opposition many have commmented was based more upon his ego and politics than genuine concern for the country?
Paul Martin supported Meech Lake. Many Liberals defected to the Bloc after its defeat. And remember, it's the current Liberals that have allowed the Bloc to call itself "Un parti propre au Québec".
Alan - June 10, 2004 9:10 PM
I blame Tupper.
SayNay? - June 11, 2004 12:41 AM
Is "Tupper" a nickname for Mulroney - kinda like the "Gipper"?
Alan - June 11, 2004 8:29 AM
Chas Tupps. Read a history book.
SayNay? - June 11, 2004 10:12 AM
Take a joke (you blame "the Chin that walks like a man" for the Blocheads and then refer to Tupper; and Baloney's delivering the Gip's eulogy - I thought you'd make the connection - and ,ok, I admit it's not a good joke - by the way, I wonder if Mulroney consulted the web site devoted to eulogy writers, see: eulogywriters.com )
Alan - June 11, 2004 10:56 AM
Sorry - I thought you did not get the Tupper reference which was a hilarious joke, the fact of which you are not admitting to. Where else can you find humour based on 19th century post-colonial leadership? It's gold, baby, GOLD!